Good Morning
The Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated by a meager 5.44 points, or 0.04 percent, to end at 12,577.15. The S&P 500 Index lost 1.28 points, or 0.09 percent, to close at 1,430.62 while the NASDAQ Composite Index declined by 18.36 points, or 0.74 percent, to finish at 2,479.42.
Volume on the NYSE was moderate, with about 1.53 billion shares traded and advancing stocks outnumbering declining ones by about 9 to 8. On the NASDAQ, about 2.38 billion shares were traded, well above last year's daily average of 2.02 billion, with decliners outnumbering advancers by 4 to 3.
NYMEX February crude rose $1.03 to settle at $52.24 a barrel, facilitating gains in oil stocks and helping the broad indexes stifle loses. Shares of Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) gained 1.2 percent, or 83 cents, to finish the session at $72.46. London Brent rose $1.16 to $52.78 a barrel. Precious metals also rebounded, with COMEX February gold up $7.40, or 1.2 percent, to settle at $633.30 an ounce.
With inflation still a concern and hopes of a near-term Fed rate cut falling by the wayside, U.S. Treasury prices faltered, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury notes down 8/32 in price for a yield of 4.79 percent.
The benchmark Nikkei Average was up 109.58 points, or 0.81 percent, to finish at 17,370.93, while the broader TOPIX Index rose 0.49 percent to finish at 1,715.17. Asian markets were fueled by the Bank of Japan’s decision to keep its benchmark interest rate steady at 0.25 percent.
Economic data on Wednesday showed a stronger-than-expected gain in the Producer Price Index in December, however, the index rose at a slower pace than in November, which points to a successful inflation-fighting campaign thus far by the Fed. Industrial production also improved in December, helped by increases in manufacturing and mining. Additionally, the Fed’s Beige Book noted that labor markets are tightening and some businesses are having trouble finding skilled workers.
Short-Term Technical Indicators
Investor Sentiment
Long-Term Market Model – Bearish since December 8th.
Asset Allocation – AAS Model Portfolios are between 56.25% and 75% long currently.
Beta Exposure and Portable Alpha Generation
Date = Date of AAS “Buy” or “Short/Sell” Recommendation
NBTY, Inc. (NTY 12/5/06)
Volt Information Sciences, Inc. (VOL 11/6/06)
Savient Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SVNT 8/9/06)
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM 11/6/06)
CarMax Inc. (KMX 7/25/06)
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (GT 8/23/06)
Precision Castparts Corp. (PCP 9/20/06)
Hansen Natural Corp. (HANS 1/3/07)
Brown Shoe Company Inc. (BWS 9/12/06)
Public Storage Inc. (PSA 12/13/06)
CONSOL Energy Inc. (CNX 12/15/06)
Brightpoint Inc. (CELL 9/19/06)
Plexus Corp. (PLXS 12/29/07)
Lenox Group Inc. (LNX 12/22/06)
Rogers Corp. (ROG 12/6/06)
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