Good Morning
Investor Sentiment
Long-Term Market Model – Bullish since April 27, 2007
Asset Allocation Recommendation – AAS Model Portfolios are allocated at 75% cash and 25% long.
Top Alpha Generating Securities
Date = Date of AAS “Buy” or “Short/Sell” Recommendation
Varian Semiconductor (VSEA 3/27/07)
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN 3/21/07)
Chaparral Steel Co. (CHAP 11/1/06)
MedImmune, Inc. (MEDI 4/18/07)
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (GT 8/23/06)
Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK 9/7/06)
Reliance Steel & Aluminum (RS 1/23/07)
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF 11/17/06)
Sotheby’s (BID 2/1/07)
Express Scripts, Inc. (ESRX 2/5/07)
The Corporate Executive Board Co. (EXBD 12/1/06)
Google Inc. (GOOG 12/18/06)
USNA Health Sciences Inc. (USNA 3/15/07)
The Washington Post & Co. (WPO 3/8/07)
posted by Justin at
10:53 PM
3 Comments:
So you think Amazon is a better long play then Google even though its twice as expensive? Scary. Good luck with that.
By
Anonymous, at 3:26 PM
P/E ratios aren’t an integral factor in our models, so whether or not a security is perceived to be “expensive” doesn’t really matter. AMZN was more expensive than GOOG back in March, yet it’s out performance speaks for itself.
Bear in mind that our model selects securities based on a weighted alpha factor coupled with momentum oscillators and price persistence algorithms. When you think about it from that angle, and not from a subjective P/E basis, it’s easy to see why the model likes AMZN more than GOOG now. Luck or not, I’m just glad we got the buy signal back on March 21st.
By
Justin, at 7:41 PM
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By
Anonymous, at 1:23 PM
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