Portable Alpha Daily

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Wednesday, February 21, 2007


After running our alpha analytic model this morning, three stocks stood out that I wanted to mention. All three have AAS Rating Scores above 5, are beginning to develop a bullish trend and have crossed or are close to crossing over their 200-day MA.

A.O. Smith Corp. (AOS) manufacturers electric motors and water heating equipment, not only in domestic residential, commercial and industrial markets, but also internationally. It’s also recently announced a plan to buyback up to one million shares.

The Transports (IYT) sector has been on a tear lately and in fact is our top-rated sector for alpha as of this morning. Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) provides global logistic services including consolidation of air and ocean freight as well as a customs broker in several overseas offices. It’s coming off a modestly-weak Q406 and is also dealing with the retirement of it’s President and COO, but that doesn’t necessarily remove this company from consideration, at least in my opinion.

Palm Inc. (PALM) provides a option within the Telecom (IYZ) sector, which has been a strong performer over the last six weeks or so.

Short-Term Technical Indicators

Investor Sentiment

Long-Term Market Model – Bearish since December 8th.

Asset Allocation – AAS Model Portfolios are between 75% long and 25% cash currently.

Beta Exposure and Portable Alpha Generation
Date = Date of AAS “Buy” or “Short/Sell” Recommendation

Top Rated Major Market Derivative – No buy recommended major market investments

Top Rated Style-Box Derivative – No buy recommended style-box investments

Top Rated Sector Derivative – iShares Dow Jones Transport Average (IYT 2/20/07)

Today’s Top “Buy” Recommended Stocks

CPI Corp. (CPY 1/23/07)

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM 11/6/06)

NBTY, Inc. (NTY 12/5/06)

Crocs, Inc. (CROX 9/6/06)

Energizer Holdings Inc. (ENR 1/26/07)

Vulcan Materials Co. (VMC 10/31/06)

LCA-Vision Inc. (LCAV 2/12/07)

MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. (WFR 1/8/07)

Avnet, Inc. (AVT 10/4/06)

Carpenter Technology Corp. (CRS 1/31/07)

Today’s Top “Sell” Recommended Stocks

New Century Financial Corp. (NEW 6/13/06)

Plexus Corp. (PLXS 12/29/06)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD 9/27/06)

Google Inc. (GOOG 12/18/06)

The Corporate Executive Board Co. (EXBD 12/1/06)

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